

“Could someone please give me a good explanation for the low housing inventory?”
Recently I posted the above question on both Facebook and Twitter. The responses I received were varied and insightful. I was informed that the low housing inventory is not exclusive to just Ventura County, rather the whole country is experiencing this frustrating situation. The scarce selection of homes has left many Realtors and their clients disappointed. This has generated an aggressive housing market.
Some of the home buyers in Ventura County have lost the excitement of home shopping. The low inventory of homes in every city of our county has caused a bidding war on many properties. Homes that are priced well receive multiple offers within the first couple of days of being on the market. In my recent experience, many of these homes sell 3-5% over the asking price. Cash buyers, and home buyers with 10-20% downpayment, have a strong advantage of being much more likely to have have their offers accepted. This leaves FHA home buyers probing and watching the housing market more vigorously, but that is another post by itself.
Back to the question at hand: What is the reason for the low housing inventory in Ventura County?
The majority of the responses that I received agreed that, no matter the market condition, the inventory of homes normally declines during the holiday seasons. Starting in October, both home sellers and home buyers tend to pause their home selling or home buying activities. However, I believe there are more explanations for the decrease in Ventura County’s housing inventory than just the normal seasonal slow down. The rapidly increasing rate of unemployment and the compelling rise in shadow inventory of foreclosed homes may provide a better explanation for the low housing inventory in Ventura County and the rest of the country.
Teresa Boardman, an amazing photographer and Realtor from Saint Paul Minnesota, brought up a great point during our Facebook discussion. Teresa and I both know some homeowners who refuse to place their home on the market in order to purchase a newer or larger home due to job insecurity. The current economy and the rise in unemployment has left many homeowners cautious and uncertain about their future. A newer or larger home usually means a larger mortgage and an increase in property taxes.
Another great colleague of mine, Irina Netchaev of Pasadena CA, pointed out the so called, “shadow inventory” of properties. These properties are homes that have been taken back by the lender or homes where the home owner is 90 days behind on the mortgage. According to a report published in September 2009 by First American CoreLogic 1.7 million homes are currently in shadow inventory across the US. The overwhelming number of foreclosures have delayed the lenders in processing these homes for sale therefore delaying the entry of these foreclosed homes into the local markets. It is unclear when and how the lenders will unleash their inventory of foreclosed homes. However, there are some that argue lenders are holding on to their foreclosure inventory until the housing market stabilizes.
I am very interested to read your intake on this matter so please feel free to leave your thoughts and opinion in the comment area provided for you below.


