

Nationwide more than 2,330,483 foreclosure fillings were recorded in 2008. In the same period of time 523,624 foreclosure fillings were recorded against California home owners. In Ventura County 8,422 properties were foreclosed upon in 2008. (source: Realtytrac.com)
It is unfortunate and distressing that the number of foreclosures are likely to increase as our economy has taken a plunge and more job loses were announced at the beginning of 2009. As more Ventura County home owners struggle to pay their mortgage, Ventura County’s real estate will report an increase in the number of short sales and consequently bank owned homes/REO homes.
Bank owned homes are usually priced below the local market value. In order to liquidate their real estate assets, lenders try to price their homes aggressively. The competitive pricing of bank owned homes forces other home sellers to price their homes equal to or less than the already available Ventura County real estate inventory.
Bank owned homes in Ventura County combined with other economic factors dominated home values in 2008. An increase in the number of bank owned homes in 2009 will further reduce the current Ventura County home values.
Another note worthy factor is the American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan of 2009 which offers first time home buyers in Ventura County a tax credit of up to $8000. The federal government’s incentive to Ventura County’s first time home buyer is expected to increase the number of homes sold in 2009.
California Association of Realtors (CAR) Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young predicts that home sales in California will increase by 12.5% in 2009 as the median home prices in California will see a decline.
“We’re projecting that the median price will show a 6 percent decline from $381,00 in 2008 to
$358,000 in 2009.”
Source: car.org
On the other hand, towards the end of 2008, Ventura County home owners were re-introduced to the loan modification phenomenon. Loan modifications help home owners through a favorable change to their loan’s terms with their lender. Many lenders would prefer to reduce their near-term or overall return on the loan rather than foreclosing and eventually owning their client’s property.
In 2009 more loan modifications are expected to be granted to Ventura County home owners by their lender. With President Obama’s Homeowners Affordability and Stability plan incentives are given to lenders who participate in modifying their troubled borrowers’ loans.
An increase in loan modification will reduce the number of defaulted mortgages and therefore Ventura County real estate will have less short sales and consequently less bank owned homes.
JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup and Bank of America Corp., recipients of more than
$115 billion in government bailout funds, have committed to modifying at least
$230 billion of mortgages. JPMorgan and Citigroup said today they will suspend
foreclosures until mid-March to give the Obama Administration time to complete
details of its loan modification program.
Source: Bloomberg.com
“The Obama administration’s housing recovery plan will accelerate loan modifications for distressed homeowners and will reform the bankruptcy system for foreclosures” said Housing Secretary Shaun Donovan.
Source: latimes.com
However, if more Ventura County residents lose their jobs, it is unlikely that loan modifications alone are going to be helpful.
The outlook for 2009 is challenging to say the least, therefore, stay informed about local and national programs and rigorously examine all of your alternatives before making any real estate decisions.
If you need any help with buying or selling a Ventura County home or if you have any questions regarding loan modification please don’t hesitate to call me, Mana Tulberg: 805-443-8898.


